Roger Cooke

Roger Cooke is a distinguished scholar who serves as the Chauncey Starr Senior Fellow at Resources for Future in Washington and Emeritus Professor at TU Delft. After receiving his bachelor's degree and PhD in mathematics and philosophy from Yale University, he spent three decades (1975-2005) in the Netherlands, first as an assistant professor at the University of Amsterdam and later as professor of Applied Decision Theory at TU Delft. He is renowned for developing the Classical Model (known as Cooke's method) for structured expert judgment, formally introduced in his seminal book "Experts in Uncertainty" (1991). His contributions to risk analysis have earned him numerous accolades, including fellowship in the Society for Risk Analysis (2008) and their Lifetime Distinguished Achievement Award (2011). He served as lead author for the Risk and Uncertainty chapter in the 5th IPCC Assessment Report and has conducted expert judgment studies for major organizations including NASA, NOAA, WHO, and AIRBUS. His work spans various critical areas including climate change, public health, food safety, and aerospace, while his research continues to focus on uncertainty quantification and structured expert judgment applications. He has developed significant tools including the UNINET Bayes Nets software for high-dimensional distributions, used by organizations worldwide for risk assessment and decision-making under uncertainty