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Public Debt Dynamics and Analysis

Learn public debt forecasting with the Public Debt Dynamics Tool to analyze debt trends and understand change drivers

Learn public debt forecasting with the Public Debt Dynamics Tool to analyze debt trends and understand change drivers

This comprehensive course equips participants with essential skills in projecting and analyzing public debt dynamics. Through hands-on training with the Excel-based Public Debt Dynamics Tool (DDT), learners master techniques for forecasting debt evolution, understanding key drivers of change, and computing fiscal adjustment paths. The course covers fundamental concepts in public debt dynamics, practical applications using the DDT, and methods for generating projections under various scenarios. Participants learn to create baseline and alternative scenario projections, develop fan charts for uncertainty analysis, and calculate necessary fiscal adjustments to meet specific debt targets. This practical approach combines theoretical understanding with real-world applications, making it valuable for professionals involved in public finance and economic policy.

Instructors:

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Public Debt Dynamics and Analysis

This course includes

2 Weeks

Of Self-paced video lessons

Intermediate Level

Completion Certificate

awarded on course completion

2,130

Audit For Free

What you'll learn

  • Understand and apply key concepts for projecting public debt over time

  • Master practical calculations for accurate debt projections

  • Analyze and identify primary factors affecting debt-to-GDP ratio changes

  • Develop strategic fiscal paths to achieve specific debt targets

  • Create comprehensive debt projections including alternative scenarios and fan charts

Skills you'll gain

Public Debt Analysis
Financial Forecasting
Excel
Economic Policy
Debt Management
Fiscal Analysis
GDP Analysis
Capacity Development

This course includes:

PreRecorded video

Graded assignments, exams

Access on Mobile, Tablet, Desktop

Limited Access access

Shareable certificate

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Module Description

This course provides a thorough understanding of public debt dynamics and their practical application through the Public Debt Dynamics Tool. Participants learn to project debt evolution, analyze key drivers of change, and develop fiscal adjustment strategies. The curriculum covers fundamental concepts of debt projection, practical calculations, identification of debt ratio changes, and methods for achieving targeted debt levels. Special attention is given to scenario analysis and fan chart creation for understanding uncertainty in debt projections.

Fee Structure

Instructor

Distinguished Sovereign Debt Expert and International Finance Scholar

Leonardo Martinez serves as Senior Economist at the International Monetary Fund's Institute for Capacity Development, where he leads the Public Debt Dynamics Tool technical assistance practice and teaches courses on financial programming and policy analysis. After earning his PhD in Economics from the University of Rochester under advisor Per Krusell and initial studies at Universidad Nacional de Tucumán, he has built an extraordinary career spanning central banking and international financial institutions. His academic impact is evidenced through publications in prestigious journals including the American Economic Review, Journal of Political Economy, and Journal of International Economics, with research focusing on sovereign debt, fiscal rules, and international reserves. His professional journey includes significant roles at the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond (2004-2009) and various IMF departments, including the Research Department's Macro-Financial Division and missions with Western Hemisphere and Fiscal Affairs departments. As lead developer of public debt online courses and technical assistance programs, he continues to shape understanding of sovereign risk and debt management while maintaining an active research agenda in political economics and mortgage markets. His expertise extends to teaching diverse courses including Fiscal Sustainability, Macroeconomic Diagnostics, and Public Debt Sustainability Analysis, reflecting his commitment to building capacity in fiscal and monetary policy implementation.

Public Debt Dynamics and Analysis

This course includes

2 Weeks

Of Self-paced video lessons

Intermediate Level

Completion Certificate

awarded on course completion

2,130

Audit For Free

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Frequently asked questions

Below are some of the most commonly asked questions about this course. We aim to provide clear and concise answers to help you better understand the course content, structure, and any other relevant information. If you have any additional questions or if your question is not listed here, please don't hesitate to reach out to our support team for further assistance.